{"id":6087,"date":"2018-01-24T13:14:17","date_gmt":"2018-01-24T17:14:17","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.ericjorden.com\/blog\/?p=6087"},"modified":"2018-01-24T13:14:17","modified_gmt":"2018-01-24T17:14:17","slug":"figuring-out-the-cause-of-forensic-messes-is-not-easy-and-takes-time","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"http:\/\/www.ericjorden.com\/blog\/2018\/01\/24\/figuring-out-the-cause-of-forensic-messes-is-not-easy-and-takes-time\/","title":{"rendered":"Figuring out the cause of forensic messes is not easy and takes time"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>So much of what we do in forensic investigation doesn&#8217;t lend itself to clean and tidy text-book investigation and analysis.\u00a0 It&#8217;s messy and difficult to wrestle to the ground as to cause.\u00a0 It also takes time.<\/p>\n<p>I thought this after I posted\u00a0a blog\u00a0two weeks ago\u00a0on getting hard evidence from soft data; getting the speed of a vehicle in an accident from the images on mobile phones. (Ref. 1)\u00a0 I blogged at that time on a lecture by Major Adam Cybanski, Ottawa, on a new forensic method for assessing the speed of vehicles in an accident. (Ref. 2)<\/p>\n<p>If you could see some of Adam&#8217;s lecture photographs and video showing aircraft, cars and people flying through the air and crashing, you&#8217;re certain to wonder: How can you measure and analyse something\u00a0like that?\u00a0 Disturbing images.\u00a0 Surely traumatizing for the\u00a0forensic investigator\u00a0to see on site.<\/p>\n<p>There was one picture of an airliner &#8211; not the\u00a0TransAsia flight 235 crash\u00a0mentioned\u00a0in the lecture\u00a0but that one too &#8211;\u00a0nearly vertical in the air, nose down and a few metres from hitting the ground.\u00a0 An aircraft filled with passengers.<\/p>\n<p>If you could see\u00a0the\u00a0condition of some cars after a traffic accident that Dr. Stuart Smith and others in CATAIR investigate, that includes doing <em>crush measurements, <\/em>you&#8217;re certain to wonder about this too.\u00a0(Ref. 3) \u00a0I&#8217;ve helped\u00a0Stu a couple of times\u00a0do these measurements; not a pretty sight.<\/p>\n<p>Less\u00a0visually disturbing &#8211; unless you are the owner &#8211; seeing undulating floor surfaces in\u00a0multistory buildings\u00a0or bent steel beams in half-built bridges you might\u00a0wonder: How can a forensic expert analyse\u00a0odd failures\u00a0like these?<\/p>\n<p>I sometimes wonder too and I come from a civil engineering background specializing in geotechnical and foundation work &#8211; measuring and engineering the messy ground.\u00a0 We get it done because we have our models and semi-empirical relationships <em>developed over decades<\/em> of field observation, research and engineering practice.<\/p>\n<p>Models help us figure out the cause of messy failures and accidents but\u00a0their development\u00a0takes time and lots of thought\u00a0and hypothesizing.\u00a0 I&#8217;m not surprised it took Adam months to get his analysis time down to a few days from a few months.\u00a0(Ref. 1)\u00a0In fact, I&#8217;m surprised it came together so quickly for him.<\/p>\n<p>These <em>models<\/em> and analytical procedures <em>show up in textbooks but not right away<\/em>, not until someone has figured out the mess from a lot of failures.\u00a0 I had one client surprised that forensic engineers must sometimes research topics for which little is known or vary geographically.\u00a0 He thought we knew everything &#8211; a nice image.<\/p>\n<p>***<\/p>\n<p>(<strong>CATAIR<\/strong>; the Canadian Association of Technical\u00a0Accident Investigators and Reconstructionists)<\/p>\n<p>(<strong>Model<\/strong>: A set of ideas and numbers, based on existing data,\u00a0that describe the past, present or future state of something.\u00a0 For example,\u00a0how the economy might react to a change in interest rates or a type of failure or accident occurred in the built environment.\u00a0 Models\u00a0are updated with new data as required.\u00a0 After Merriam-Webster dictionary, January,\u00a02018)<\/p>\n<p><strong>References<\/strong><\/p>\n<ol>\n<li>Getting hard evidence from soft data.\u00a0 Posted January 10, 2018<\/li>\n<li>Cybanski, Major Adam R., Gyro Flight and Safety Analysis,\u00a0Ottawa, 2017 <a href=\"http:\/\/www.gyrosafety.com\/\">http:\/\/www.gyrosafety.com<\/a><\/li>\n<li>Smith, Dr. Stuart, C. R. Tyner and Associates, Dartmouth, Nova Scotia\u00a0 <a href=\"mailto:crtynerassociate@eastlink..ca\">crtynerassociate@eastlink.ca<\/a><\/li>\n<\/ol>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>So much of what we do in forensic investigation doesn&#8217;t lend itself to clean and tidy text-book investigation and analysis.\u00a0 It&#8217;s messy and difficult to wrestle to the ground as to cause.\u00a0 It also takes time. I thought this after &hellip; <a href=\"http:\/\/www.ericjorden.com\/blog\/2018\/01\/24\/figuring-out-the-cause-of-forensic-messes-is-not-easy-and-takes-time\/\">Continue reading <span class=\"meta-nav\">&rarr;<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[1],"tags":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.ericjorden.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/6087"}],"collection":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.ericjorden.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.ericjorden.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.ericjorden.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.ericjorden.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=6087"}],"version-history":[{"count":32,"href":"http:\/\/www.ericjorden.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/6087\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":6123,"href":"http:\/\/www.ericjorden.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/6087\/revisions\/6123"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.ericjorden.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=6087"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.ericjorden.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=6087"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.ericjorden.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=6087"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}