Differential diagnosis in medicine and forensic investigation, and soft, initial thoughts on cause

The phrase “differential diagnosis” caught my eye recently in light of some tendency in forensic engineering for the injured party to take the expert’s initial thought on cause as gospel and run with it.

Yet the forensic expert’s initial thought – an initial hypothesis – is based on just a little evidence and likely, quite subjective evidence.  For example, a briefing by the client, a  read of some documents and perhaps a walk-over survey of the accident or failure site.

Sometimes that thought/hypothesis is subject to revision like happens in the scientific method – and an embarrassment to all concerned if counsel decides to take the case or the claims manager agrees a settlement.

(Scientific method: A method or procedure that has characterized natural science since the 17th century, consisting in systematic observation, measurement, and experiment, and the formulation, testing, and modification of hypotheses. Ref. 1)

Differential diagnosis is a medical process.  It occurred to me that forensic experts could learn from medical doctors.

Differential diagnosis is the development of a list of possible medical conditions that might explain a patient’s symptoms.  The list goes from the most likely and urgent at the top to the least at the bottom.  The process involves several phases like forensic investigation involves several stages.  The early phases/stages are subjective in nature.  The process is well developed in medicine as explained by a friend and also Dr. Google. (Refs 1 and 2)

The phases of a differential diagnosis and their similarity to a forensic investigation are a little like the following:

Phase #1 Take history

In medicine, take a history from the patient about what she’s experiencing.  Interrogate and ask questions like a detective.  Try to figure out what’s going on.

In forensic work, take a briefing from the injured party or their counsel or claims manager about their slip and fall accident or the damage to their building.  Ask lots of questions.  Read existing documentation.  Consider different categories of accidents or failures.

Phase #2 Physical examination

Look, feel and listen.  Take the patient’s pulse and measure his blood pressure.  Examine him orally.  Listen to his chest (with a stethoscope).  Do a percussive examination (tap body with fingers and note the sound)

Walk over the site and visually examine the accident or failure scene and the structures there.  Measure and determine the condition of the structure before and after the failure.  Photograph and measure features characterizing the scene.  Take aerial video of the scene from a drone.  Excavate test pits and note the subsurface conditions.  Carry out initial skid resistance tests of the floor at a slip and fall accident. 

Phase #3 Additional investigative tests

Carry out additional tests like blood work, X-rays, MRIs and stress tests.

Take samples and do laboratory tests of the physical properties of materials that failed.  Do field tests and sample and test the physical properties of the soil in the field and laboratory.  If necessary, do additional skid tests of the floor.

Phase #4 Data analysis and interpretation

Analyse data and test results and identify conditions that could account for the patient’s symptoms.  List from most likely to least likely – the differential diagnosis.  Look at the most probable diagnosis at the top of the list then go back to Phase #3 and order more tests to confirm depending on how confidant you are.

Study the data, look at how different pieces of data relate and support one another and relate to possible causes of the personal injury or the crane or building collapse.  Identify the probable cause(s) of the injury or collapse.  If necessary, return to the site to check and confirm earlier findings.

Phase #5 Treatment

In medicine, prescribe a treatment of the condition with medicines, life style changes, diet, etc.  Monitor the condition and if improves good.  If no improvement, consider the dosage of medicines and the extent of other changes.  If none or not much go back to the previous phase and reconsider the differential diagnosis.  Treatment is the prescription, the plan in SOAP. (Ref. 3)

In forensic work, report the most probable cause of the accident or failure.  Recommend how the damage can be fixed and the cause of the accident or failure eliminated.

***

I see the differential diagnosis process as an elaboration of the SOAP process that is also followed in medicine: (Ref. 3)

1. Gather Subjective data.  Take a history from the patient in medicine and a briefing on the problem in engineering.  Reflect on why the patient is hurting and the different categories of structural failure in engineering.

2. Get some Objective data.  Like blood work and X-rays in medicine and measurements and field and laboratory tests in forensic investigation.

3. Analyse the data.  Study, identify and list the different medical conditions indicated by the data that could account for the patient’s symptoms.  And in forensic work, the different causes that could account for the personal injury or the crane or bridge collapse.  The list is the differential diagnosis in medicine and the possible causes in a forensic investigation, going from the most likely cause at the top to the least likely at the bottom.

4. Prescribe treatment.  For example, identify life style changes, diet and/or medications to fix the medical condition and make the symptoms disappear.  In forensic work recommend how the damage can be repaired and the cause removed.

***

Can you imagine the embarrassment to the medical doctor and the pain for the patient if s/he prescribed treatment based on the results of Phase #1 of the differential diagnosis process and he was wrong and the patient dies?  Everybody gets in trouble.

Fortunately, that doesn’t happen often in medicine.  Unfortunately it happens at times in forensic work – the client runs with the expert’s initial thoughts on cause.  A few years ago, an expert noted the occasional pressure on an expert during a forensic investigation to find support for those initial thoughts.

Summary

So, the next time you’re getting a medical check-up think about the forensic expert and hope the doctor doesn’t go with his initial thoughts on the cause of your symptoms.  And if you’re the forensic expert, go out of your way to help your client, the injured party, understand that an initial thought on cause is not necessarily a final diagnosis.  It’s at the front end of the subjective-data-collection-stage and a soft thought.

References

  1. Dr. Google
  2. Personal conversation with Dr. J. Nasser, Halifax, a retired ear, nose and throat surgeon and a former dentist
  3. Using SOAP notes in forensic engineering investigation.  Posted February 6, 2014

 

 

A Bundle of Blogs: On the need for peer review in forensic engineering and expert services

Take your pick: Get your expert’s report reviewed by a peer, or rebutted by a peer.  A peer review has a scientific ring to it.  A rebuttal review has an aggressive ring.

If a peer review finds that you’re out on a limb with errors and omissions in your expert’s forensic investigation and report – it happens – you can back track and correct them.  If a rebuttal review finds this, you’re stuck out on the limb and on the defense.  They both cost money but money spent on peer review is better spent and less embarrassing.

I’ve thought this for a while resulting in the following blogs over time.  Also that it was time to bundle them together.

I think blog #5 on controlling review costs is quite a good read.  It explains the different ways you can retain an expert and how each can be peer reviewed.

If you’ve got time to look at the blogs, you might start with #7 the first one I posted in 2013.

The Bundle

  1. Is there an argument for a peer review of a peer review?  Posted January 11, 2020  I make the case for a peer review of a rebuttal report because most are biased.  I learned this after surveying the opinion of seven experts in the Maritimes. 
  2. Ridding peer review of potential bias.  Posted December 30, 2019  A good read on six different ways of getting rid of bias in a peer review, in decreasing order of preference. 
  3. Eureka! Peer review is good case management.  Posted November 16, 2018  A pithy, short blog on a Eureka! moment I had that emphasized the value of peer review at any stage of the civil litigation or insurance claim resolution process.
  4. Peer review pays off – 17 years later.  Posted May 5, 2017  A long time to wait and not your normal payback period – more like a few months.  This is a case history that explains how a client was spared the lost of many 10s of 1,000s of dollars.
  5. Peer review costs can be controlled.  Posted January 22, 2016  The answer is in how you retain an expert.  You have a choice of several different ways.  There’s a quote at the end of this blog that really makes you think.
  6. Peer reviewing an expert’s report ensures the justice system gets what it needs.  Posted January 15, 2016  I emphasize the need for peer review again and note that it is provided for now in the remediation of contaminated sites – environmental engineering.  I reviewed 16 references in drafting this blog.
  7. Peer review in forensic engineering and civil litigation.  Posted November 26, 2013  I explain the need for peer review in forensic work as perceived by a consulting professional engineer.  It was prompted after I read four poorly written “expert” reports.

(Posted by Eric E. Jorden, M.Sc., P.Eng. Consulting Professional Engineer, Forensic Engineer, Geotechnology Ltd., Halifax, Nova Scotia, Canada. ejorden@eastlink.ca)   

Site analysis in forensic engineering investigation – from the simple to the complex, then back to the simple using drones

Terrain or site analysis using aerial video – looking at pictures taken from the air and getting information about a site – has come full circle, from simple to complex, and back to simple.  I’ll tell you how in the following, and why that’s good for forensic investigation.  Including – for certain in the future – a first-in-Atlantic-Canada aerial video.

It’s simple terrain analysis when the aerial video or photograph is taken near the ground – a few 10s of feet high.  The resolution and detail are good and anyone can look at the video and get evidence and data from it.  No special skills and software are needed.  Forensic experts like that: Reliable, precise evidence easily got and understood by everyone, including the client.

It’s complex when aerial photographs are taken from high in the sky – 1000s of feet.  The resolution and detail are not so so good and special skills are needed.  For example, skill in photogrammetry in the past as well as today, and also knowing how to use different software.

(Photogrammetry is the science of making reliable measurements between objects with the use of photographs and especially aerial photographs (as in land surveying and mapping).

(Terrain is a geographic area or piece of land.  It can also mean the physical features of a tract of land.  Also, a stretch of land, especially with regard to its physical features)

***

The simple terrain analysis today might be more correctly thought of as site analysis.  Site analysis is the type of analysis done on small, compact sites where most personal injury accidents, structural failures and problems occur rather than on large tracts of land – for example, the site of the accident, or the building or crane collapse.

***

Traditionally in terrain analysis, you look at the ground surface of quite large tracts of land as captured in aerial photographs.  You identify the physical features characterizing the surface, assess how the features relate to one another, then assess how the individual features and their relationships are relevant to your interest in the terrain.

For example, you might want to construct a road in an unmapped area.  The location and nature of features like hills, valleys, steep slopes, streams, forest, flora, existing structures and the underlying foundation soils are all relevant to what you want to do in the area.

Why not just go for a walk in the area and see for yourself?  That is done to some extent and is called ground proofing – confirming that the features you’ve identified in the aerial photographs are what they seem to be.  But for large, unmapped areas it’s not practical, maybe not safe either.

I worked for an Australian firm that selected preliminary routes for roads in Indonesian jungle by terrain analysis.  I’ve worked in jungle.  I learned after leaving one site that a man was taken by a crocodile in a mangrove swamp and eaten.

***

In the simple beginning of terrain analysis – the late 1800s – aerial cameras were taken aloft on balloons and kites and photographed the ground from quite low down.  As cameras improved this gave good detail from a different angle – above the site rather than at ground level.  In a sense, you saw your site in 3D – from the front, the side and above.  As good as it was, the area covered was limited.

Time passed and during WW 1 then more so in WW 2, cameras were taken aloft in reconnaissance planes, and understandably flew quite high and out of range of enemy guns.  Extensive areas were photographed this way and features of interest identified in the aerial photographs by the user.  Terrain analysis started to get complex.

More time passed and large areas of land were photographed this way and topographic maps made of the areas using photogrammetry.  All of Canada has been mapped from planes flying 1000s of feet in the air.

I’ve used these aerial photographs for years in my engineering work.  The planes flew at about 6,000 feet.  The detail was okay but not great, but better than not having a 3D aerial view of a site.

Various remote sensing methods were developed and increased the accuracy.  Photogrammetry continued to develop and LiDar also came along.

(Lidar (light detection and ranging) is a remote-sensing technique that uses laser light to densely measure the surface of the earth, producing highly accurate x, y, z measurements of a point on the ground.  In a sense, the location of the front, side and top of many closely spaced points on the earth – like the points defining the edge of a bog.  Lidar is emerging as a cost-effective alternative to traditional surveying techniques such as photogrammetry)

I used Lidar to investigate the cause of the foundation failure of a house and swimming pool in Cape Breton.  A Lidar map accurately showed the location of the edge of a bog and the probable location of compressible fill soil placed on a small area of the bog near the edge.  The foundations were constructed on the weak, compressible fill and bog and over time settled and subsided a lot – I remember 6.0 inches at one location.  It was an easy analysis and conclusion as to cause.

Still more time passed and in recent years simple drones fitted with video cameras came along – like motorized kites and balloons from the late 1800s -, and the cameras were much better too.  We got back to simple terrain/site analysis and the potential for taking forensic engineering investigation to another level is good.

Most recently for me, staging how an engineering failure might occur and photographing the scene from a drone fitted with a video camera.  I’m also looking forward to flying low and capturing the reenactment of a slip, trip and fall accident on video.  I’m certain it’ll be a first-in-Atlantic-Canada.

In hindsight, I wish now I had flown and got aerial video of the reenactment of a power tool accident that I investigated.  I got good video from the ground and the case was resolved, but aerial video of the reenactment would’ve been nice.  Next time.

***

I hope you’ve got an idea of site analysis and agree that simple is good.  Forensic experts certainly like it: Reliable, precise evidence, simply and easily got, easily analysed, understood by everyone, and explained jargon-free.  Not very high tech – simple low flying drones fitted with video cameras – but good and reliable.  You’ve got to agree.

It’s good like getting your hands dirty and mud on your boots tramping around on site on any occasion, including during ground proofing of the analysis of aerial video taken from low flying drones. (Ref. 1)

Also good like if you can measure it you can manage it. (Refs 2 and 3)  The measurements you can get from a screen-grab off aerial video are almost as good as those from a boots-on-the-ground land survey of a site.  The land surveyor in me knows this.

Simple is good, and it’s good to have come full circle and to be back where we started, in a sense, in the late 1800s.

References

  1. An expert’s “dirty hands and muddy boots”.  Posted December 20, 2013
  2. “If you can measure it you can manage it” – and do thorough forensic  engineering, and cost effective civil litigation.  Posted June 18, 2015
  3. If you can measure it you can manage it, even if it’s a real mess like a car or truck accident.  Posted June 23, 2016

A Bundle of Blogs: Aerial video of insurance and forensic sites taken with cameras mounted on drones

Aerial video of a site taken from a low flying drone is one of the best insurance and forensic investigative methods that I’ve used in a long time.  I’ve had excellent results since learning of this method in 2014 and my enthusiasm continues to grow – the following 15 blogs attest to that.

I attempted in the blogs to explain and demonstrate the worth of this method.  After 15 blogs it seemed time to bundle them together.  Particularly after the watershed development explained in Blog #1 below that enables me to plan a virtual flight over a failure or accident site days in advance and miles away.  New software and Google Earth make it happen.  But it can be very simple and low tech with a kid’s drone as explained in Blog #5.

What we’re doing is simple enough – taking aerial video of a site and analyzing it for data and evidence.  What’s different today is that we’re getting video from way down low, 10s to 100s of feet above a site.  In the past it was only possible from up high, many 1,000s of feet, from high flying planes.  Close to the ground, the detail captured with high resolution cameras mounted on drones is something else.

The following blogs describe what’s going on.  Several are of sites involved in insurance and forensic engineering investigations – see Blog #12 of an environmental investigation in the U.S.  Other blogs in the Bundle indicate the potential of up-close aerial video.

  1. It’s here, cost effective, efficient aerial video for forensic investigation!  Posted October 8, 2019
  2. The drone will get the alleged killers, if they’re there.  Posted July 31, 2019
  3. What’s wrong with this (sinkhole) picture near Vancouver?  Posted February 20, 2019
  4. Reliable forensic evidence from drone photography: Aerial photography from way down low.  Posted October 31, 2018
  5. A kid’s toy drone can photograph the site of an engineering failure, a personal injury or a traffic accident.  Posted September 12, 2018
  6. Getting evidence in slip and fall accidents and building failures with video taken from a drone.  Posted August 9, 2018
  7. Drone video as a forensic technique is joined by drone photography as an art form.  Posted August 2, 2017
  8. “Unexpected” evidence and the importance of drone photography in forensic investigation.  Posted July 19, 2017
  9. Conference call on a “drone flight” reduces cost of civil litigation.  May 18, 2017
  10. Getting evidence with a low cost, low tech drone flight over a forensic site.  Posted March 31, 2017
  11. “Crewing” on a forensic drone flight.  Posted October 4, 2016
  12. U.S. civil litigation lawyer on using air photos in environmental litigation.  Posted November 18, 2015
  13. Fixed wing drones – another tool in forensic engineering investigation.  Posted November 4, 2015
  14. New forensic aerial photographic method proving extremely valuable.  Posted January 30, 2015
  15. A picture’s worth a 1000 words possibly many 1000s in forensic engineering with a new aerial photographic technique.  Posted January 15, 2014

***

(Posted by Eric E. Jorden, M.Sc., P.Eng. Consulting Professional Engineer, Forensic Engineer, Geotechnology Ltd., Halifax, Nova Scotia, Canada October 31, 2019 ejorden@eastlink.ca)      

It’s here, cost effective, efficient aerial video for forensic investigations!

It sounds like a commercial, but I was excited when I learned that you can now plan a drone flight and aerial video of a site from your office armchair.  Then see the virtual flight in 3D on Google earth – all before you drive to the site and days before the real flight.

You can get a preview of video taken during a virtual flight then, with a click of the mouse, change the drone’s flight path, speed and altitude, and the video camera angle.  Do this as often as you like, after as many virtual flights as you like, till you’re happy you’ve captured what you need – all from your armchair.

Needless to say, you can also plan as many different flights as you like over and around your accident, building or crane collapse site.

Then – after the client reviews all virtual flights on a CD and likes what he sees – drive to the site and fly it for real.  New software and Google earth make it happen.

Robert Guertin, Dartmouth, drone pilot and photographer gave me a demonstration a few days ago and it was impressive. (Ref. 1)

***

I retain Robert now to take aerial video from a drone of all sites where I’m carrying out a forensic investigation.  In the past we drove to the site with a drone fitted with a video camera and flew the site, seeing it for the first time from the air.  We made several flights – on site, not from an armchair – till we got the scene and the surrounding terrain on video in the detail I needed.

I got good data – I’m in awe about the worth of this forensic technique; including this one, I’ve posted 15 blogs on low level aerial video since 2015.  But sometimes I would get back to the office and after studying the video and doing some terrain analysis find that I might have flown additional paths or one or two in a different way and got even better data.

(Terrain analysis is another valuable technique in engineering – particularly now with low level aerial video – which I’ll tell you about later.  The terrain and the flora hold secrets to what underlies the site and what’s happened there in the past)

***

But, now we plan my flights from an office armchair. The software engages Google earth and brings up a 2D picture of the site on Robert’s desktop.  We’ve all seen these Google earth pictures.  I plan a flight over our site marking the path with way points on the 2D picture – a click of the mouse for each point.

The software then allows me to specify the height of the drone, it’s direction (heading in aviation) and it’s speed at each way point.  I also specify the camera angle, the view I want of my client’s site.

We engage Google earth again and ask the software to export the flight path’s file to Google earth.  This gives a 3D Google earth image of our site with the flight path superimposed.  We then fly this virtual flight path from our armchairs.

I have a look at what we’re getting during the flight.  If I don’t like what I see we disengage from Google earth, tweak the flight specification at each way point and fly again.  When we get a virtual flight and video coverage that collects the data I need, Robert produces a video clip and I send it to the client for approval.

On the client’s approval we drive to the site, load the flight plan to the drone and video camera and fly the site.  The software sends the drone on all the virtual flight paths we specified and the camera on board takes real video.  The video is put on a disk and the field work is done.

You can imagine the cost effectiveness of this forensic technique.  You capture what you need at your site then study and analyse the data later in your office.  It’s easy, productive and fun.  Forensic engineering investigation doesn’t get much better than this.

***

Virtual Flight Demonstrations

Robert demonstrated this technique for me at three sites, sitting in an armchair in his office.

A wharf in Nova Scotia.  This was one of Robert’s for-real commissions.  The client wanted the wharf repaired.  Robert was asked to fly the site and video the wharf and it’s present condition.  He planned distant, middle distant and close-up video of the wharf with the drone flying specified virtual paths, some at tree top level and others at scary, wave top heights.

The client was then sent a CD of the virtual flights for approval.  This was got then Robert went to the site and flew it for real, same as he’s done for me several times.  I saw all of both the virtual and real flights over and around the wharf – there was little difference between the two – and they were good.

The Dartmouth waterfront.  Robert then planned a virtual flight in 3D along the Dartmouth waterfront in front of Admiralty house then flew it as I watched from my armchair.  He specified all the flight and camera parameters identified above same as he would do if someone wanted to design and construct a building on the waterfront.

My home and neighbourhood in Dartmouth.  Finally, if I wasn’t impressed enough already, just to be sure, he then designed a virtual flight and video of my home and neighbourhood and flew it, as I watched from my armchair in his office.

References

  1. Meeting with Robert Guertin, Videographer, photographer, drone pilot, Millenium Film and Video Productions Ltd., Dartmouth, Nova Scotia

 

Am I a civil engineering expert?

I was asked recently, “Are you a civil engineering expert?”

I thought, civil engineering is such a broad field of study how can anyone be an expert?  But then I realized I have knowledge in the field enabling me to form an opinion that will assist the fact finder.  I have degrees and experience in civil engineering and the fact finder doesn’t.  My knowledge is greater in some areas of civil engineering and less in others, but still greater than the fact finder’s.

I was also quick to realize that I had considerable knowledge relevant to the issue being discussed at the time prompting the question of me.  Gaining that knowledge over the years provided insight into some of the sub-disciplines of civil engineering that many civil engineers might not get.

(Civil engineering is a discipline that applies physical and scientific principles to the design, construction, and maintenance of the built and natural environments.  Everything you see around you in the course of a day.  Its history goes back 1,000s of years)

Civil engineering sub-disciplines

You might still wonder if I’m a civil engineering expert when you see a list of some of the sub-disciplines of civil engineering:

  • Structural engineering
  • Foundation engineering
  • Geotechnical engineering
  • Environmental engineering
  • Coastal engineering
  • Water resources engineering
  • Forensic engineering
  • Geomatics engineering
  • Construction engineering
  • Earthquake engineering
  • Industrial engineering
  • Hydraulic engineering
  • Municipal or urban engineering
  • Transportation engineering

So many, and there’s still others.  But, look how a civil engineer can learn about different sub-disciples and be quite useful to a trier of fact:

How we learn about the sub-disciplines

I studied land surveying for two years before studying civil engineering and was licensed as a provincial land surveyor on P.E.I..  My summer work and for a year after I graduated from engineering was construction surveying for municipal water supply and sewage collection pipeline construction.  I also assisted construction surveying for 1.5 years during construction of an oil refinery.

So, some good insight gained into refinery construction, municipal work and geomatics engineering, formerly known as survey engineering.

I did highway engineering design work for a year in Vancouver.  I also got introduced to geotechnical engineering in Vancouver that included field testing of the sub-grade soils along 200 miles of highway in the Yukon.  I did foundation design and structural engineering while in Adelaide, Australia, and geotechnical engineering investigation of embankment failures in Brisbane and northern Australia.

All relatively short periods of time but real good introductions to the sub-disciplines.

I’ve not done hydraulic engineering or industrial engineering but that’s okay; you can’t do them all even if you do a lot.  (I did investigate the ground conditions for construction of hydraulic structures like dams and canals)

I eventually specialized in geotechnical engineering and did graduate work in the U.K. where I practiced for three years then continued in Canada.

Geotechnical engineers investigate and identify the different layers of soil beneath a planned construction site and test and measure the physical properties of these materials.  The soil properties are then used by engineers to design foundations that will safely support the structure planned for the site.

Geo engineers also design and monitor construction of earthwork structures like embankments, filled ground and highway cut slopes.

They must talk with owners, architects, site engineers, environmental engineers, structural engineers, foundation engineers, construction engineers – all sub-disciplines of one kind or another – to learn about the structure that must be supported on the ground.

Structures like low- and high-rise buildings, roads, bridges, dams, canals, retaining walls, towers, wharves, harbours and breakwaters, earthwork embankments and highway slopes.

Civil engineers get informed

You can just imagine as the years go by, how a civil engineer becomes quite well informed about these engineering sub-disciplines, and the different structures forming the built environment we live in.

(Hope your eyes are not glazing over yet – it really is like this in civil engineering)

Geo engineers overlap with environmental engineers

If you work in geotechnical engineering it’s not too long before you’re overlapping with environmental engineering.  Environmental engineers have a big interest in everything to do with water in the environment.

Surface water and ground water (the water table) changes the physical properties of soil and rock.  Sink holes like those in Oxford, Nova Scotia are a prime example.  Gypsum bedrock will support foundations quite nicely when dry but dissolves when exposed to ground water.

If you work in geotechnical engineering it’s also not too long before you’re doing Phase I, II and III ESAs – Environmental Site Assessments.  As a civil engineer, I’ve done a few of these over the years.  There’s a lot of overlap between the geotechnical and environmental sub-disciplines.

Sub-disciplines connect with their co-sub-disciplines

It’s the same with the other sub-disciplines and how they connect with their co-sub-disciplines:

  • Foundation engineers learn something about geo work, structural engineering and environmental engineering:
  • Highway engineers learn about geomatic engineering, and quite a lot about geotechnical engineering because highways sit on the ground;
  • Municipal engineers learn about geo engineering too because pipelines are buried in the ground;
  • Many sub-disciplines learn a little something about environmental engineering because engineering the built environment alters the natural environment
  • Structural engineers soon learn about earthquake engineering
  • Coastal engineers learn about the requirements of foundation engineers and environmental engineers

It goes on and on, the inter-relationship of the civil engineering sub-disciplines.

The principal engineer

However, it’s important for a civil engineer to know when to assume the position of principal engineer. (Ref. 1)

Principal engineers coordinate the work of other engineers and specialists to a common goal – in forensic engineering, to determining the cause of a collapse or accident in the built environment.  A principal engineer might be directing the efforts of construction engineers, structural engineers, mechanical engineers and crane operators in removing the collapsed crane from the multistory building in Halifax. (Ref. 2)

I’m not qualified to do structural and construction engineering but can develop some of the parameters enabling them to do their work, particularly soil and rock properties for foundation design.  I am qualified in earthworks design and also done a lot of materials testing and site inspection (earthworks and concrete construction).

I’m certainly qualified in knowing when to step back into the position of principal engineer, and well out of the way of those who know better.  I know when to retain one or more of the sub-disciplines because I’ve worked with them.

For example

I investigated a nail gun accident a few years ago.  It was easy for me to check if the nail gun appeared to work properly because I used one when I built my house from the ground up.

But, were hidden parts of the nail gun worn?  I’m not a mechanical engineer so I retained a specialist in nail gun repair to take it apart and tell me.

Was it poorly designed or manufactured?  I was ready to retain specialists in these fields.

First however, I decided to have the victim re-enact the nail gun accident while I took a video.  I take a lot of pictures and video in my expert work and this was easy for me to do as principal engineer.  The video of the re-enactment was insightful to say the least.

In other cases, I retained a structural engineer to guide me in underpinning a structure.  I retained a specialist in concrete design to guide me in retaining wall design.  I’ve got a call to a structural engineer now about bracing a deck structure so it won’t fall over.

Family doctors as principal investigators

The concept of principal investigator is not unique to civil engineering.  The medical profession adopts this approach all the time.

Your family physician takes a patient history, does a physical examination, may order some tests and may refer you to a specialist if s/he sees a potential problem.  He would coordinate the investigations of the other doctors and specialists into the problem.  The specialists would carry out thorough investigations and explain their findings in detail.  (Ref. 3)

It’s similar in construction when a general contractors hires carpenters, electricians, plumbers and roofers to do a job.  The general is the principal, the trades are the specialists.

***

So, what did I say?

Thinking through all of the above got me comfortably to the stage of answering the question put to me, “Are you a civil engineering expert?”.  What do you think I said?

References

  1. Lewis, Gary L., Editor, Guidelines for Forensic Engineering Practice, American Society of Civil Engineers (ASCE) Reston, Virginia 2003
  2. Why do I think the crane collapsed in Halifax?, posted September 20, 2019
  3. Personal communique with Dr. J. Nasser, Halifax, NS. September, 2019

Why do I think the crane collapsed in Halifax?

I’m not surprised the crane collapsed in Halifax during Hurricane Dorian, and an initial hypothesis of cause is easy.

The crane was set up for construction of a multistory building next to The Trillium, 1445 South Park Street.  A friend of mine happens to live in The Trillium.

In collapsing on September 7, the crane just lay down against the street side of the approximately 12 story, unfinished building.  It then went over the top and down the side facing The Trillium, the top of the crane scraping the side of The Trillium on it’s way down.

It looks like a kinked, yellow ribbon thrown over the multistory building.  I counted at least six kinks in the ribbon/crane.  It would speak well for the structural design of the multistory building if it hasn’t been damaged structurally on being whipped by the falling crane.  It seemed to resist the horizontal push of the falling crane quite well.

Google crane collapse Halifax for excellent photographs and video of the crane draped over the building.

***

Cranes are good at lifting vertical loads/weights not in resisting horizontal loads, like wind.  And if the horizontal load on the crane is a frequent gust of wind from different directions – Dorian was characterized by frequent wind gusts rather than a steady blow – then you’ve got an oscillating load, an on-again, off-again load on the crane.  Worst still.

These kinds of oscillating loads caused three, 1.5 metre deep, steel bridge girders, that were connected to a crane, to fail by bending sideways in Edmonton in 2015. (Refs 1 to 4)

The steel bridge girders were new yet they bent under an oscillating load.  The word on the street is that the Halifax crane was rusted and perhaps not so new.  Not good.

But you say, the open lattice-type construction of the crane doesn’t provide much surface for the wind to push on.  Still some, and Dorian’s wind gusts were not light weight by any stretch.  Have you seen a thin, hanging rope, steel chain or cable swinging back and forth in the wind?

Given the preliminary evidence, an initial hypothesis as to why the crane collapsed is wind load in excess of the crane’s capacity to resist.  A wind load characterized by frequent, strong gusts from different directions.

The resulting oscillation of the crane would cause metal fatigue – a well known cause of failure in engineering – and the crane to break at the location of the first kink.  The upper kinks in the yellow ribbon/crane would form as a result of hitting the stronger multistory building.

***

I examined the collapsed crane from outside the security fence near the corner of The Trillium.  I also talked with a man who was evacuated from a building near the collapse and another man at The Trillium.

Hands-on examination of the crane and more evidence is certain to result in revision of my initial hypothesis as to cause, but I know I’m close.  Regarding more evidence, it’ll be interesting to learn the condition of the crane – the rust factor you hear on the street.

***

This is what scientists do, an initial hypothesis on an issue, a simple thought, sometimes on the basis of the skimpiest evidence.  They’ve got to start somewhere.  Then, based on more evidence, they tweak, revise and modify their initial thought, and sometimes throw out the initial hypothesis completely.

Applied scientists like forensic engineers and medical doctors do this too – ask your doc next time you see him or her about differential diagnosis.

It’s important for clients of forensic engineers and experts to realize that an initial hypothesis is not the last word on cause.  It’s just a good start.

References

  1. Wind, construction crane and inadequate cross-bracing caused Edmonton bridge failure.  An initial hypothesis.  Posted March  27, 2015
  2. Why, in a recent blog, didn’t I seem to consider foundation failure as a possible cause of the Edmonton bridge collapse?  Posted April 3, 2015
  3. Bridge beams that fail are sometimes like balloons filled with water – squeeze them and they pop out somewhere else.  Posted May 20, 2015
  4. Bridge failure in litigation due to inadequate bracing – City of Edmonton.  But, inadequate for what?  Posted March 15, 2016

Basic advice to U.S. experts supports simple, approximate methods in Canada

Reasonableness jumped out at me when I read some words of advice from a US attorney to experts regarding Criteria for Admissibility of Expert Opinion Testimony Under Daubert and Its Progeny: (Ref. 1)

“Remember the three R’s:

  • Reliability, 
  • Reasonableness and
  • Repeatability.

Every step of the expert’s investigative process should pay attention to these three factors:

  • The reliability of the investigative procedures used;
  • The reasonableness of the conclusions formulated; and
  • The ability to demonstrate, through repetitive analyses, that the investigative method and resulting opinions are scientifically valid and worthy of being presented to the trier of fact. — Elliot R. Feldman, Esq., Cozen O’Connor”

(Quote altered to break up a big paragraph and make more readable)

These factors allow for simple, approximate methods of investigation if decided appropriate by a reasonable person.  Thank heaven, because not everything is clean and pretty, and exact and precise in forensic engineering investigation.  Think everything to do with the messy ground, and the structures supported there, and the natural environment in general

I defended simple, approximate investigative methods in a recent blog on the standard of care that had a reasonableness theme.  (Ref. 2)

For example, the drag sled method for determining the skid resistance of a floor – the simple coefficient of friction of the floor material in high school physics.  You drag a known weight across a floor, measure the drag, divide the one by the other and you got your coefficient of friction/skid resistance.  It can’t get more simple and scientific than that.

The method meets the criteria for the admissibility of expert evidence in the U.S. and I’m sure in Canada.  It’s reliable in giving an approximate answer based on repetitive testing that would be noted in the conclusions. Approximate investigative methods are reasonable in some situations, and scientifically valid.

As an experienced civil engineer, I like reasonable considering the failures and accidents we must investigate in the sometimes messy built and natural environments.  Explaining these investigations to non-technical people and the trier of fact is often the demanding part.

References

  1. As reported in Expert Communications, Dallas, Texas, August, 2019 (A consulting firm that provides marketing services to experts in the US)
  2. Is there a case for a multi standard of care? No.  Posted June 27, 2019

Why do I blog? One reason: A blog is often like a mini expert report in story form

OVERVIEW

I’ve blogged for seven years now, two or three times a month to tell you about a field of engineering that I enjoy and that contributes to dispute resolution and claim settlement – a nice way to practice.

I want parties to a dispute or claim to know something about the nature and methods of forensic engineering investigation and about managing costs when you retain an expert.

You think-on-paper when you blog and that’s good practice when you must synthesize and analyse engineering evidence, draw conclusions and form an opinion.  Blogs are essays on a topic, sometimes technical, and not unlike mini expert reports in story form.  .

I also blog because I like that creative feeling when you write – producing a piece of literature that didn’t exist before.  There’s 200 of my blogs/essays/mini expert reports out there now varying from a few 100 words to several 1,000.

The following nine (9) reasons and comments elaborate on why I blog.  There’s a summary and references at the end if you’re quite busy and haven’t got a lot of time.  Reference 10 is a good read about managing cost.

The REASONS

REASON 1

I want parties involved in dispute resolution or insurance claim settlement to know something about the nature and methods of forensic engineering investigation – what you get when you retain an expert.  Not how to do the work, just to have some idea of what we do to help you solve your problem.

Comment: For example, the surprising value of one of the newer investigative methods like a low flying drone fitted with a GoPro camera taking video at the scene of a failure or accident in the built environment.

Older methods like terrain analysis – identifying features on the ground from the air and how they relate to your problem, but doing this much more reliably from a few 100 feet high rather than several 1,000 like in the past.  And simple methods like simple, high school math.

An aerial photograph taken from a low flying drone was key to assessing the pattern of drainage at a contaminated site and where the fuel oil went.  I was surprised at what I saw.  Aerial video of another site is helping me assess if the site is contaminated decades after a spill.  And still another, the geometric design and safety of a site.

Simple high school math was key to learning the disputed height of a feature in the landscape.

Smart phone video of the reenactment of a power tool accident showed how the accident likely happened.

I want to describe how we carry out reliable investigations, observe, test, study, synthesize, analyse, think-on-paper, draw conclusions and formulate objective opinions.  Then present reliable evidence to the parties involved in a dispute or claim, and to the court or tribunal, in simple, non-technical English.

Forensic civil engineering is not high tech but it does require reliable work and good expert report writing.

Why is Reason #1 a particularly good reason?  It’s because parties to a dispute have obligations with respect to the expert’s report or affidavit. (Ref. 1)

For example, parties in a litigious matter must learn about the technical subject to which the evidence relates in order to identify the relevant technical issues.  He or she has an important duty in the presentation of technical evidence to ensure it’s properly understood by the court or tribunal. (Ref. 1)

As well, parties to dispute resolution and claim settlement have an obligation to monitor  cost in view of the often small to medium size-sized disagreements in the Atlantic provinces – and their sometimes less than affluent nature.  This is because the extent and cost of an all-stages forensic investigation is often similar regardless of whether the engineering failure or personal injury is small, medium-sized, catastrophic or terrible.

It’s difficult for parties to a dispute or loss to carry out their obligations, and also monitor costs, without some understanding of how experts work.

REASON 2

I also want to help readers understand why a forensic engineering investigation can be expensive.

Comment: The expense has everything to do with carrying out a reliable investigation and rendering a well reasoned opinion, as expected of the expert.  At the very least, following routine investigative procedures in an effort to ensure that no stone is left un-turned. (Ref. 3)

We don’t know when we start what we’re going to find that we must investigate – the surprise, follow-the-evidence situations.  Every failure and accident is different. (Refs 4, 5 and 6)  Not enough time and money is no excuse if we miss something.

Parties to a dispute or loss can assist, with some understanding of forensic work, by identifying and selecting the relevant technical issues early with the assistance of the expert.  This can be a big cost cutter.

REASON 3

To help parties to a dispute understand the importance of retaining an expert early in all matters, the different ways an expert can be retained and the importance of monitoring costs – starting when the merits of a potential issue are being assessed. (Refs 7, 8)

Comment: At present, experts are too often retained months or years after a case is taken and after the cost of the forensic investigation has been estimated by other than the expert.  This is contrary to the advice of some of the most senior members of the legal profession. (Ref. 9)

For example, I was retained by counsel 11 years after a personal injury.  I visually examined the site and reported on what could have been done to prevent the accident.  The case settled four (4) months later.  To give counsel credit, he instructed me on the relevant technical issues which reduced the cost in this case.  This type of instruction doesn’t happen very often.

REASON 4

To help the justice system understand what they should be getting for the money spent on forensic investigation: That is, reliable investigations, well thought out expert opinions, and well written reports.

Comment: Rules governing experts have placed greater emphasis on the investigation and the expert’s report, to encourage the settlement of cases without going to discovery and trial.

There are excellent guidelines on forensic investigation and also on writing an expert’s report.  And excellent books, in general, on writing well.  I’m not sure these are being consulted to the extent they should.  I recently saw poorly written reports by a forensic firm claiming to have 18 different experts on staff.

REASON 5

I want to understand the forensic engineering field better myself, to learn by writing the blogs and thinking-on-paper – particularly, on how addressing the technical issues supports the resolution of disputes.

Comment: Like all of us, I’m learning all the time.  Most recently about the value of low cost, initial hypotheses on the cause of problems based on very limited data.  This task could save counsel money – as long as it’s remembered they are initial hypotheses.

For example, I hypothesized with considerable confidence on the cause of a catastrophic bridge failure during construction (Edmonton) – based on study of photographs in a newspaper.  In another, the cause of the sloping, sagging floors in a multi-story building (Halifax) – based on a visual examination of the floors and knowing how these types of buildings are constructed.

Cases are also being settled today based on simple verbal reports after the technical issues are addressed.  In some cases not even a verbal report because counsel is on site and sees the results of the expert’s investigation unfold before his eyes – this happened during a slip and fall accident that I investigated.  I don’t think counsel could believe what he was seeing.

REASON 6

I want to increase my understanding of the dispute resolution and claim settlement processes.

Comment: Experts have a duty to acquire some understanding of these processes.  For example, the justice system expects this in civil litigation.

I researched and posted 10 blogs on the role of a professional engineer in the civil litigation process for the benefit of counsel and their clients. (Ref. 8) I learned a lot during this research.  I was assisted by senior counsel in preparing drafts of two of these blogs.

It’s also been an eye-opener to learn of the dichotomy between the party’s right to justice and the expense of getting it.  Associated is the conflicting interests of the different parties to the process.

For example, the court, while encouraging counsel to expedite cases and control costs, wants good evidence and a reliable opinion – which takes time and money.  The expert needs to do thorough investigative work to get this evidence.  He expects to get paid according to his schedule of fees, his level of expertise and the responsibility he bears.  If the party has retained the expert on a fee basis, he doesn’t want to spend any more than necessary.  If counsel has taken the case on a contingency basis and retained the expert, he wants to protect the worth of the file to his firm.  Quite a mix of interests.

REASON 7

Because of a sense of obligation to my readers who have seen the blog for seven years now and perhaps have come to expect it to fill a void that was there.

Comment: Feed back suggests you do get something from my descriptions of the nature and methods of forensic engineering, and my comments on related matters.

A senior lawyer in Atlantic Canada said, “I love that stuff..!!”.  Another senior legal chap on the east coast commented, “…like reading them.”  And an insurance claim consultant said, “I read every one”.  It’s hard to beat testimonials like that.

I mentioned above that two senior counsel helped me with two of the blogs on the role of professional engineers in the civil litigation process – critiqued the blogs before their posting.  One of these noted that experts are invaluable to civil litigation.

A chap who blogs on business ethics, Dr. Chris MacDonald, Toronto, and has an international reputation in his field – Chris is on a list of 100 influential business people that includes Barack Obama – saw fit to advise his twitter followers of my blog.

A monthly periodical on engineering construction – with an international distribution of 10,000, sought permission to publish one of my blogs.  The issue had a forensic engineering theme.  They came back a couple of weeks later requesting permission to publish two additional blogs in the same issue.

In seven years, only about 10 readers asked to be removed from my distribution list.  This was because they were retired or the subject did not relate to their field of practice.

Overall, quite a good reception suggesting there was a void, and I’m filling it and making a contribution to the dispute resolution and insurance claim settlement processes.

REASON 8

“It’s my soap box”, one colleague said of why I blog.

Comment: There’s some truth in that particularly when I see inadequate forensic investigations, poorly written expert reports and questionable practices.  I vent but you don’t know it because it’s well disguised.  It feels good afterwards, and there’s almost always a lesson in my remarks.

REASON 9

For that satisfied feeling that comes from creating something – a piece of literature that did not exist before

Comment: A few months after I started blogging in June, 2012, I noticed a feeling of satisfaction after posting an item, a mild elation.  It was subtle but there.  On reflection, I realized I felt good because I had created something – a piece of literature that didn’t exist until I put pen to paper.  So, I blog for that satisfied, creative feeling too.  You all know how elusive that feeling is in our busy work/social, balanced-challenged lives.

On further reflection, I realized the feeling was also about finally publishing information on a topic or technical issue useful to my readers – finally letting it go.  I like my blogs to be as clear and well written as possible – in a sense, like well written, mini expert reports.

SUMMARY

In summary, the reasons and comments on why I blog might look like this:

  1. To give you an idea of forensic engineering methods that help resolve disputes and settle claims
  2. Help you learn why forensic engineering is sometimes expensive
  3. Explain the importance of retaining an expert early and ways this can be done cost effectively
  4. To understand better myself how addressing technical issues resolves disputes and claims
  5. Increase my understanding of the forensic engineering field and how it  contributes to the resolution of disputes and the settlement of claims
  6. An obligation to my readers who enjoy the short essays on topics of mutual interest
  7. My soap box for venting on practices in our respective fields that are not good
  8. I like to write, to create something that didn’t exist until I put pen-to-paper
  9. For that satisfied feeling on creating a piece of literature that didn’t exist before

REFERENCES

  1. The Advocates` Society, Toronto, Ontario, Principles governing communicating with testifying experts June, 2014
  2. Peer review costs can be controlled.  Posted January 22, 2016
  3. Steps in the forensic engineering investigative process with an appendix on cost.  Posted July 15, 2013
  4. What do forensic engineers investigate in Atlantic Canada.  Posted October 9, 2014
  5. Forensic engineering practice in Eastern Canada.  Posted May 7, 2015
  6. How many ways can a building fail and possibly result in civil litigation or an insurance claim?  Posted July 10, 2014
  7. The role of a professional engineer in counsel’s decision to take a case.  Posted June 26, 2012
  8. A bundle of blogs: A civil litigation resource list on how to use forensic engineering experts.  Posted November 20, 2013
  9. Stockwood, Q.C., David, Civil Litigation: A Practical Handbook, 5th ed., 2004, Thomson Carlswell
  10. Principles governing the cost control of dispute resolution and claim settlement involving experts.  Posted July 30, 2019

(Posted by Eric E. Jorden, M.Sc., P.Eng. Consulting Professional Engineer, Forensic Engineer, Geotechnology Ltd., Halifax, Nova Scotia, Canada August 15, 2019 ejorden@eastlink.ca)   

The drones will get the alleged killers, if they’re there

I can’t help thinking that low level, aerial photography from drones then simple terrain analysis of what is captured in the video will find the alleged killers in northern Manitoba.  Even if they’re dead, as I can hardly imagine them otherwise in terrain like that.

I’ve worked in that kind of terrain here and overseas and it’s unforgiving.  Load heat-sensing gear on the drones and it’s a no-brainer finding them if the photography is  flown properly.

Terrain analysis involves identifying features on the ground and considering how they relate to your interests.

Aerial photography using drones and terrain analysis is well developed in civil engineering.  I know the police forces have picked up on the technology and learned well and are using it to good advantage in Manitoba.

I’ve used drone video on several forensic investigations including two kilometre-long sites, one covered by forest.  You can pick out a tennis ball with a drone flying at tree top level in that terrain – a few 10s of feet up.  A white face or hand would show quite nicely against the green forest floor.  I can imagine a pattern of foot prints across muskeg would show nicely too.

You can fly a drone across a couple of kilometres of terrain in minutes, study the video, analyse the terrain, stop and start the video every few seconds, take frame grabs, take out a magnifying glass and look closer still, etc., etc.

I flew the forested area in a recent case with people on the ground and got reams of data and evidence – not unlike what is possible in Manitoba and likely what is being done right now.

In a hunt like this, you track back and forth on a grid over the area of interest taking aerial photography as you go.  You can cover hundreds of kilometres of terrain with drone-mounted video cameras in the few days the searchers have been there.

I can’t help but think, if the alleged killers are still there, dead or alive, they would be found.  I don’t think they are else they would have been found by now with the aerial surveillance.  It may be time to move on to another hot-tip search area..